誰需要社會住宅？Who Needs Social Housing?

本文首次針對臺灣民眾對社會住宅的看法進行量化分析，在實務應用上提供了精確且廣泛的數據現況。採用內政部營建署104年全國住宅狀況抽樣調查結果，以交叉分析與羅吉斯迴歸討論不同背景之非自有住宅者對於社會住宅的看法。結果發現非自有住宅民眾中，近七成支持興建只租不售的社會住宅，51.5%表示願意承租。另外，每月經常性收入低於2萬的非自有住宅者，無意願承租比例達58.9%，其皆具有高齡、無業、目前低價租屋等個人特徵。建議在推廣上可針對高齡弱勢者多加著墨，並妥善規劃醫療、租金補貼、就業輔導等配套措施，將有助於提高政策推動的效率。
關鍵詞：全國住宅狀況抽樣調查、社會住宅、交叉分析、羅吉斯迴歸

This is a pioneering quantitative research study on Taiwan’s social housing (SH), which provides precise, wide-range, and in-depth analyses on the demand side. Based on the National Housing Survey conducted by the Ministry of the Interior in 2015, we investigate the opinions of non-ownership Taiwanese on SH using cross-analysis and the odds ratio from logistic regression. The results show that nearly 70% of non-ownership respondents support the construction of SH, and 51.5% of them are willing to rent a unit. It is worth mentioning that 58.9% of non-ownership respondents with monthly income of less than 20 thousand have no willingness to rent an SH unit, and they are also characterized as being older, jobless, and currently paying a low rent. Accordingly, we suggest that the promotion of SH should place more emphasis on the elderly and vulnerable, in tandem with a better medical system, rental subsidies, and employment counseling to improve policy efficiency.
Key words: national housing survey, social housing, cross-analysis, logistic regression